Starting Up

April 21st, 2009

The old “I’m just publishing my book, not starting a business” fallacy has reared its head again. So, if you already know all there is to know about founding your press, go away. You’re going to be seriously bored by this post. Or, better, stay, and tell me what I omitted in the comments!

First, any time you’re getting money for anything, it’s a business. And no matter whether profit is your primary goal or not, if you don’t at least break even, you won’t be accomplishing any goals for long. Money does matter.

Now that we have that settled: you need to decide what type of company you should have. If you don’t choose at all, you have chosen a sole proprietorship. This is the default, but it’s not necessarily a good choice for you. Your other choices are partnerships (general or limited), LLCs and corporations (S-corps or general). My personal preference for most publishing companies is an S-Corp. Why? Because it has the most upside potential, and I’m an incurable optimist. If you become successful, converting an S-corp to a general corporation, and even eventually selling stock to the public is less of a seismic shift.

Corporations offer about as much protection of your personal assets as you’re going to get, assuming that you actually do the annual paperwork, and treat the company as a “real business.”

Digression: If liability is a concern, you should also get media and general umbrella liability policies, at a minimum. I am aware of exactly two agents in the U.S. who know media liability policies inside and out. Toddle on over to the Reference Desk’s web directory to find them.

With an S-Corp, you do have to file corporate tax forms, but the profits get passed straight through to stockholders’ personal income, so you’re not double taxed. In fact, if you pay yourself a reasonable salary, there’s a very nice little effect. The profits aren’t generally subject to employment taxes such as Social Security and Medicare. Just play it straight, and this can work out well.

You should probably do more research on this subject. Depending upon the size of your effort, you might want to consult a tax attorney, buy one of the many good books on the subject, or just do an Internet search.

Whatever form you choose, you will need an Employer Identification Number (EIN), whether or not you contemplate hiring employees. After all, you really don’t want to hand your Social Security number to anyone who asks, but you will have to supply some tax identification number, on request, to anyone who pays your company more than a few hundred dollars per year.

Next, look up the licensing requirements for your city, county and state. Remember to get a sales tax collection or vendor’s license and identification number. If you’re not setting up a formal business entity, such as a corporation of some kind or an LLC, then you will probably need to file DBA notices (Doing Business As) in some public record. Google is your friend when you are searching for the latest local regulations on such things.

Digression: Remember to file Use Tax on anything you buy without paying some state’s sales tax, if it’s not to be resold. Individuals are supposed to pay this, but rarely get caught if they fail. Companies are routinely caught, and the fines and penalties are quite painful.

Set up an accounting system, and one for handling your orders and your contact database. There will be other needs for information handling systems, policies and procedures, and you’ll need to adjust the ones you begin with as things grow, but you must have something in place before you launch, or you’ll be overwhelmed.

And, no, a check book and and a shoe box are not enough!

The rest of the drill involves actually publishing the books and selling them. Those are fodder for other posts and for other people. I do hope, however, that this gives you a basic rundown on the launch of your business.

Google and the Big Publishers

April 20th, 2009

Why did the larger publishers settle with Google? It’s pretty simple, I think.

Google has a lot more money to fight on this issue than even large publishers can spare.

More, the precedent set when Google was sued for scanning and indexing web sites might seem to apply to books and book scanning. After all, judges aren’t usually from an intellectual property background. Even IP lawyers often don’t really understand all of the ramifications of an event in our complicated industry, and this infringement takes us deep into complex territory.

So, the publishers looked at those two pieces of information, and decided to settle for something rather than take the chance of spending unbelievable amounts for legal fees and in the end, losing an enormous amount.

Is this settlement better for them than for us? Of course it is. Is it better for all the parties who crafted it than it is for us? Naturally.

Is it the best deal we’re likely to get? Yes. Even if you pull your books out of the settlement, all you end up with is the right to sue. Google can, and probably will, still infringe your rights. If you sue, you will face the same Hobson’s choice that the larger publishers did.

Is this just? No. Is it right? No. Has Google failed in its pledge not to be “evil.” According to their lights, no. They see the action of rights holders as evil in preventing Google from accomplishing something that they feel is a great social good, when we’re (again, in Google’s view) acting only for our own gain.

This is one of those quasi-religious arguments where every side is convinced that it’s right. And it’s one where you may have to settle for what you can get, in order to avoid a Pyrrhic victory or an annihilating defeat.

Or so I see it.

Oh, and if you’re not a US author or US publisher, should you care? Oh, yes. Your books will be scanned just like ours, if they’re in a library here. And they probably are in one library or another.

Pitch Party

March 29th, 2009

Upon my return, I was scanning through my RSS feeds, and saw this post on How Publishing Works. I think that it’s such a good idea, that I’m copying it!

So: please feel free to pitch your blog in the comments section. Caveats: There’s a 25 word limit, and you have to post comments on at least 3 of the other blogs that pitch here.

(Oh, and if you’re one of the spammers that keep trying to flood my comments section? Forget it. The comment won’t be approved!)

Update

March 29th, 2009

Just back from CIPA College (Colorado Independent Publishers’ Association seminar series) in Denver. Had a wonderful time. There was a terrible blizzard, so I only had about 20 people in my class (which was one of the first few), but I think we all felt that it might even have been more useful than usual because of the intimate size!

I want to praise the organizers, including the Dean Dr. Judith Briles, for doing such a splendid job. The classes were all extremely interesting, even for an old hand like me.

What did I teach? Basic Financial Techniques for Publishers — including how to estimate sales, how to set the most profitable price for your books, how to evaluate a marketing campaign and how to approach many other common decisions.

If you don’t know yet, many of the larger regional associations have such events. The biggest national association, IBPA (PMA that was), has a 3 days set right before BEA. Usually there are about 70 seminars in the series. If you’re interested in the latest techniques for marketing books, all of those series have tons of classes. (And yes, I teach at them whenever I can possibly fit it in.)

Estimating Sales, Part III: Converting Amazon Sales Ranks into Sales Estimates

February 27th, 2009

If you want to estimate the sales of your own book, one of the best ways is to estimate the sales of the closest competition. There are other sources of sales data, such as Ingram’s iPage, and Bookscan, but I’m going to discuss the more complex process of turning Amazon sales ranks into estimates of sales through Amazon here.

Their sales rank formula shifts and is proprietary, of course, but one thing we do know is that it’s always roughly inversely proportional to sales, over any reasonable range. Most of you just came to a screaming halt, didn’t you? Well, it’s not as arcane as that sounded. You can do this, really. Yes, really.

Once more, in English, and taking one step at a time:

If you look at books that are selling roughly similar amounts, then you can say that Amazon’s sales ranks can be inverted (divide 1 by the rank), and the result will more or less proportional to sales.

Proportional to the sales means you can find a number to multiply the inverted ranks by, and you’ll get an estimate of sales through Amazon.

To find the number, I recommend that you look at Morris Rosenthal’s Foner Books site. He has a page, here, that gives a graph of sales per week and sales rank. I’ve never found a better correlation that’s publicly available.

Pick a sales rank number that’s in the middle of the range you expect your book to inhabit. Go down that line in the graph until you hit the red line, and then run across to the sales per week axis. Jot that number down beside the rank. (Oh, and yes, the graph looks a little different than you may be used to, but don’t worry, it’s more accurate because the axes are logarithmic.)

Now, multiply the sales per week (or year, if you prefer) by the rank. That’s the factor of proportionality. If you divide your resulting number by sales ranks that are close to the one you chose, you’ll end up with an estimate of the sales for that title.

Caveats: First, sales ranks change quickly. Use the middle of the range that each title inhabits.

Second, you’re only estimating sales through Amazon. Only you know whether that’s likely to be 12% or 75% of the sales for this title.

Third, this is most useful for estimating the sales of titles that are competing with yours, or for estimating those numbers in order to get a rough ballpark estimate of the potential sales of your future title.

And last, but never least, if any of the calculations I describe seem to you to be giving you a wrong answer, if the answer is just plain “off,” rely upon your experience and judgment, not on the spreadsheets.

So, who has a question about this? A suggestion for improving it? Or something else they’d like to raise?

I’ve Written A Book, Should I Self-Publish?

February 26th, 2009

I have some very hard-to-hear advice: not all manuscripts are meant for publication. There’s no way for me to know if yours is or is not, but you can do some things to determine whether it is or not. There are other things you can do to try to get traditionally published. I’ve blogged before about those issues.

Lately, you’ll hear a lot about self-publishing. It may be something you should consider, but it may not. What questions should you ask?

1. Why am I publishing this book, and what does that imply about the best path?

2. If a mainstream publisher is your first choice, why are you reading this post? Go read some of my others, and at least a couple of the agent blogs.

3. Your market:
–Who is my book designed for?
–Why will they want it?
–What else do I know about them?
–Where can I find them in large groups, and how can I market to them through those clusters?
When you can answer those questions, you can estimate the likely sales of your book. And yes, this is your problem, ultimately, no matter how you publish. If your books don’t sell, you’re going to have a very hard time accomplishing any goals with them.

4. Should you use a self-publishing service? If your likely sales are more than 50 to 100 copies, then you should probably avoid so-called self-publishing companies. Why? I discussed it here. (These services are also called on-line publishers or POD publishers, by the way.) Using one of them will limit your potential sales in most cases. (I have several other posts on estimating sales, and add more regularly. Walk yourself through them, if you’re not experienced in this industry.)

5. Can I run a business?
5a. Can I sell my book to others?
Being an author is being in business, but the penalties for ignroing most of the implications of this are relatively small. When you self-publish, that’s no longer true. And you’re going to have to be responsible not only for the back office nitty gritty, but also for the marketing. Many authors have a hard time accepting that necessity or performing in those roles. If you’re one, don’t even try self-publishing. It’s not going to make you happy.

6. Do I have the time and energy to learn a lot of new things? Publishing is complicated, and it’s very easy to make expensive mistakes. After your first book, things do get less confusing, but it’s not going to stop being a learning experience. After 18 years in this business, I’m still learning something every day.

7. Do I have enough money to do my book justice? Trade publishers spend about $20,000 or more to launch a single title. You don’t need anything like that much, but you do need some money. You’re going to need to buy ISBNs, and register your copyright. You’re going to need some software, and a lot of books on the various disciplines of design and marketing and production. You may need to pay for a print run, etc.

NB: You do not need a so-called POD publisher in order to print POD. You can directly approach any printer, once you have established your own publishing identity. Buying the ISBN and learning something about the business are more or less prerequisites.

8. Do you really understand what you’re getting into? Publishing is addictive, and most people who try it do get hooked. Before you start, do you have permission from
–your spouse or significant other?
–your immediate family?
–your accountant?
–your mental health professional?
I’m joking, of course, but it’s also true. This will drain your bank account, absorb your time and attention, and generally take over your life. You’ve been warned!

Managing Email

December 11th, 2008

Most of you probably know this already, but I hear more than a few complaints about being overwhelmed by email.

I get around 10,000 non-spam emails per month. I think the tactics I use will pay off for anyone handling more than 25 or 30 “real” emails per day. If you’re getting much more than 30,000 per month, you may need more sophisticated techniques.

Start with: spam filters.
I use a Bayesian one, and recommend this class of filters highly. They learn as you go from the emails that you mark as spam, and from the ones that you fish out of your email box as non-spam. After a few weeks of using one, you should be catching the vast majority of your spam, and have a false positive rate in around one or two tenths of one percent.

Follow with: threading.
Having your conversations collected by thread is critical. Not everyone “snips” well. (Snipping is cutting out the parts of the prior email that aren’t necessary for context, so that the whole thing isn’t miles long, and you can find the new entry whether it’s top posted or bottom. Doing it well means keeping enough but not too much to supply context.)

Next: subject filters and specialized boxes.
Most of my non-spam email comes from the listservs to which I belong. I filter all of that into special in-boxes, with one for each active list, and one for all of the inactive ones. These are all in a separate folder that I can look at when I have time.

Everything that doesn’t fit a bulk category goes into the general email box, and this tends to be either junk or urgent stuff. It also tends to be pretty small amounts.

Saving emails:
I have dozens of subject boxes, in nested folders (each layer gets more specific), and my email client program automatically indexes them for searching by subject, addressee and sender, or by keywords within the email. I take emails from my current in boxes and file them in these subject boxes when I have made whatever responses or actions are required.

To Do boxes:
If there are long-term projects or issues, I tend to create a to-do box for them, and file emails inside it, even if the action hasn’t been completed. Some of these take such a long time that my other active boxes get overwhelmed. It’s hard to keep track of more than 20 active emails in a box — or at most, 50.

Estimating Sales, Part II: Experience and Judgment

November 21st, 2008

This is the most common method. And it can work. It doesn’t work all that well, however. So we’re going to make short shrift of it.

If an acquisitions editor is doing this, you should usually divide the estimate in half. All AEs fall in love with their babies, and so they should. But it doesn’t make them the most objective judges.

If it’s done by a marketing team, look at the person’s track record. Most will estimate high, but some are consistently pessimistic.

When you do this, somewhere deep down inside you, there’s a little calculator doing something a little like the method in Part III. Essentially, you’re looking at comparables, estimating their sales, and then adding or subtracting to allow for factors like the economy, pricing, relative quality of the cover, the reviews, and the content, and the amount of marketing that the author and your marketing department are likely to manage.

What factors do you toss into the mix?

Favorite time-wasting sites

November 21st, 2008

Okay, so I haven’t blogged in months. I’m still here.

Just so you don’t miss me too much, I’m sharing my favorite procrastination:
LOLcats!

Many of you know that I’m a mom and a knitter in my "real life." If you share those characteristics, or simply share my slightly screwball sensibiity, you’ll also like the blog,So The Thing Is . . .

And now, back to our regularly scheduled (or rather IRregularly scheduled) posts. Enjoy.

Estimating Sales, Part 1: Working from Your Marketing Plan

July 28th, 2008

Most publishers seem to feel that you can’t really estimate future sales on a book. The normal procedure seems to be the gut feeling, combined with a look at Bookscan for the author’s prior sales, or the sales on competitive titles.

All well and good, as far as it goes, but you can do better. There are a number of approaches that work. Use as many as you can, and then average the results. With any luck, the inevitable inaccuracies will all point in different directions, and the average will be better than any one of the estimates.

So, this entry focuses on your marketing plan. If you don’t have one yet, smack yourself upside the head, and go do one!

Got it in front of you? Good.

For each major element of the plan, estimate how many people will be exposed to the message about your book (magazine circulation for articles or reviews, regular visitors for blogs, . . . ).

Multiply this by the likelihood that you’ll be able to get the article or review in the first place, if it’s not already set in stone. Example: if you’re hoping for a review in “Better Needlework,” circulation 10,000, and you think you have a 50/50 chance, then you multiply 10,000 by 1/2, for a total of 5,000. That’s the likely number of people that will see this piece.

Now, how many of those viewers are in your target audience? Multiply the likely size of your audience (above) by that fraction. “Better Needlework,”in our example, is about both gros point and petit point, with some doing one or the other, and about half doing both. Four our example, about 75% of the readers do each one. So, your book on petit point might interest about 3 out of 4 readers. And now, you guessed it, you multiply 5,000 by 75% for 3,750. That’s the probable size of the INTERESTED audience.

How many of those people will buy your book? Multiply the interested audience, above, by that fraction. In a normal audience, it might be 1%. In a specialized audience, if your book is much better than any of the competition AND if the audience is book-oriented, it might rise to 5%. Our example will be one of those occasions, so we multiply 3,750 people by 5%, for a total of 138. (Actually 137.5, but half a person would just make a mess of our needlepoint!) This is the number of copies your book is likely to sell based upon this review, or whatever.

Do this for every major campaign, and then add up all the numbers of copies you think you’ll sell. That’s your estimate of total sales.

Simple, no?

Any questions? Comments?